BTG
Lenders tightening office financing requirements as occupier demand evolves
Lending to the UK office market is becoming much more selective. As banks and debt funds increasingly focus on lending to modern offices and those with a clear pathway to carbon net zero, significant ‘legacy’ office stock is at risk of failure to secure refinancing at upcoming loan maturities.
Airlines ready for bumper summer as travellers look past surging ticket prices for now
European airlines’ summer bookings are strong heading into peak travel season as the post-pandemic desire to travel offsets inflationary pressures reducing consumer purchasing power, higher airline operating costs, and rising ticket prices.
Refinancing risks focus borrowers’ minds on early lender discussions
The refinancing market for SME corporates faces a liquidity squeeze and margin hike in the next 12 months as banks reassess the higher-for-longer interest rate environment and the impact of fiscal policies by the new Conservative government.
Powell’s hawkish Jackson Hole message makes plain the costs ahead for taming US inflation
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell forcefully rebutted the expectations of an early dovish monetary policy pivot, reminding markets that interest rates will continue to climb and remain elevated for some time in its “unconditional” pursuit of price stability.
UK travel sector’s summer boom hopes dimmed by strikes, infections and labour shortages
The UK’s much-anticipated summer travel revival risks descending into chaos as unions target airline strikes to coincide with school holidays while surging inflation and the cost of living crisis curb nascent demand recovery.
UK exports of goods to the EU surpass pre-pandemic levels, but volumes mask severe trade barriers
UK exports of goods to the EU accelerated for the third consecutive month in April, by £1.2bn or 8.1% compared to March, to reach £16.4bn, the highest volumes since the Office for National Statistics (ONS) data series began in 1997.
Inflation risks derailing the UK’s leisure and hospitality sector’s embryonic green shoots
The financial health of the UK’s leisure and hospitality sector remains in a precarious state. Since coronavirus restrictions were lifted entirely back in early 2022 the sector started to show early signs of recovery, with many optimistic for a covid-free summer season to come. But that optimism has waned.
The inflation puzzle: money printing and the devaluation of fiat currency
Inflation is at the heart of the post-pandemic economic malaise running throughout the global economy. Inflation has surged to multi-decade highs prompting central banks to ramp up monetary tightening and set out plans to unwind outsized balance sheets.
US recession risk climbing
The path to avoid a recession in the US, the world’s largest economy, is starting to narrow. Inflation remains red hot – the annual rate was 8.3% in April, compared to 8.5% in March, according to the US Department of Labor – while signs that the economy is weakening continue to mount.Find an Expert
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